This chapter presents a number time-series methods: naive, smoothing, decomposition, regression, and percent sales forecasting. Fully worked out examples of each are provided.
Introduction |
Case Study: Apple |
Naïve Methods: Last-Year Constant |
Naïve Methods: Last-Year Rate of Change |
Smoothing Method: Moving Averages |
Smoothing Method: Moving Average with Weighting of Observations |
Smoothing Method: Exponential Smoothing |
Seasonality Method: Forecasting Seasonality in Time Series Data |
Regression Methods: Dummy Variable Regression for Seasonal Data |
Regression and Prediction Intervals |
Projection Method: Percent of Sales |
Summary |
Appendix 1: Apple Inc. Annual Revenue in $ Billions, 1977–2020 |
Appendix 2: Apple Inc. Quarterly Annual Revenue in $ Billions, 2012–2020 |
Appendix 3: Time Series Decomposition Data |
Section VI: Prescriptive Analytics Overview |
What Counts - Chapter 16 - Forecasting
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